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PS: An OKX June financial calendar graphic and major events table are attached at the end; feel free to save them if needed.
In June 2025, the global financial markets and the cryptocurrency sector will witness a series of key events. From monetary policy adjustments in traditional finance to legislative processes and technological innovations in the crypto industry, as well as the convening of major conferences, these events will have a profound impact on market trends.
- European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision: Economic Outlook in the Eurozone under Easing Policy Expectations
On June 5, the European Central Bank will announce the latest deposit mechanism interest rate. Currently, although inflation in the Eurozone has eased somewhat, it still faces challenges of weak economic growth. The market generally expects the European Central Bank to adopt an easing policy at this meeting. UBS predicts that the European Central Bank may lower the deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.0%. This expectation has already been partially reflected in market prices, but the specific extent of the rate cut will still depend on the European Central Bank's assessment of the economic outlook.
The European Central Bank's decision will be based on the latest macroeconomic forecasts from the Euro system staff. These forecasts are expected to show a weaker growth outlook for 2026, and inflation rates will also decrease. However, the potential impact of proposed tariffs from the U.S. adds uncertainty to the decision-making process. The Trump administration announced a possible 50% tariff on EU goods, which, if implemented, could impact the Eurozone economy.
At the press conference following the interest rate decision, European Central Bank President Lagarde's statements will be crucial. The market will closely monitor her remarks on the macroeconomic outlook, policy risks, and contingency plans. Additionally, the progress of the European Central Bank's interim strategic assessment is also highly anticipated, which is expected to conclude in the summer and may provide new clues for future monetary policy frameworks.
- U.S. Cryptocurrency Legislation Review: Gradual Clarification of Industry Regulatory Framework
On June 10, the U.S. Congress will review legislation on cryptocurrency market structure and stablecoin regulation. Currently, the U.S. cryptocurrency industry faces unclear regulatory responsibilities, with the IRS, SEC, and CFTC having differing classifications of cryptocurrencies. If the Trump administration relaxes regulations, clarifying the regulatory framework will become a top priority.
One of the focal points for the market is the legislative progress of the "Financial Innovation and Technology Act of the 21st Century" (FIT 21). This bill aims to establish a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, and if passed, it will mark a significant step forward for compliance regulation in the U.S. cryptocurrency industry. Additionally, the SEC's cryptocurrency working group has held over a hundred meetings with the industry to discuss regulatory clarity and communicate with projects like Ripple, with the GENIUS stablecoin bill expected to be implemented ahead of the market structure bill.
The cryptocurrency market's reaction will depend on the specific content of the bill. If the bill clarifies regulatory jurisdiction and reduces regulatory overlap, it may boost market confidence and promote the development of the cryptocurrency industry chain. Conversely, if regulations tighten or uncertainty persists, it may put pressure on the market.
- Lido Discontinuation on Polygon Network: Strategic Adjustments and Impacts on the DeFi Ecosystem
On June 16, Lido will officially discontinue its liquid staking service on the Polygon network. As one of the main staking protocols on Ethereum and several public chains, Lido's strategic adjustment will have a profound impact on the Polygon ecosystem.
The reasons for Lido's decision to discontinue Polygon services include low user adoption rates, the transition to zkEVM technology, and a strategic shift towards Ethereum. Although Lido's staking operations on Polygon were once highly anticipated, they faced challenges such as insufficient staking rewards and high maintenance costs in actual operations. As the Polygon ecosystem upgrades to zkEVM technology, the demand for liquid staking solutions decreases, further weakening Lido's influence on Polygon.
Lido's exit will affect staking asset management and ecosystem services on Polygon. Users must withdraw their staked MATIC before the deadline, or they will face difficulties in asset extraction. Furthermore, Lido's strategic adjustment may prompt other DeFi projects to reassess their positions in the Polygon ecosystem, thereby influencing the overall development direction of the ecosystem.
- Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: The Game Between Maintaining High-Interest Policies and Rate Cut Expectations
On June 19, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision and update its economic forecasts and dot plot. Currently, inflation in the U.S. remains above target levels, but economic growth is robust. The market is highly focused on whether the Federal Reserve will maintain its current high-interest policy or hint at future policy directions.
Although the Trump administration has called for rate cuts to stimulate the economy, the Federal Reserve faces the risk of inflation rebounding. Recent tariffs on imported goods in the U.S. may push prices higher and suppress economic growth, making the Federal Reserve more cautious in its rate cut decisions. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting, but rate cut expectations still exist.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will have widespread implications for financial markets and the cryptocurrency market. Changes in interest rate levels will affect funding costs and overall liquidity, thereby influencing trading activity and price volatility in the crypto market. If the Federal Reserve maintains its high-interest policy, it may put pressure on the cryptocurrency market; if it hints at future rate cuts, it may boost market sentiment.
- BTC Prague 2025 Conference: A Global Gathering for Bitcoin Technology and Ecosystem
From June 19 to 21, one of Europe's largest Bitcoin conferences, BTC Prague, will be held in Prague, Czech Republic. This conference is expected to attract thousands of industry participants, focusing on topics such as Bitcoin technology, mining, and ETF trends.
The BTC Prague conference is seen as an important platform for promoting Bitcoin education, technological collaboration, and infrastructure development. During the conference, industry leaders, technical experts, and investors will discuss the future development trends of Bitcoin. Additionally, the conference may serve as a significant venue for promoting financial products such as Bitcoin ETFs, further advancing the institutionalization of Bitcoin.
For the cryptocurrency market, the BTC Prague conference may boost market sentiment and promote short-term fluctuations in Bitcoin prices. At the same time, the technical discussions and collaborative projects during the conference may lay the foundation for the long-term development of the Bitcoin ecosystem.
Conclusion
In June 2025, the financial markets and the cryptocurrency sector will face a series of key events. The European Central Bank's interest rate decision, the U.S. cryptocurrency legislation review, Lido's strategic adjustments, the Federal Reserve's policy direction, and the BTC Prague conference will collectively shape the future trends of the market. Investors need to closely monitor the progress of these events to seize market opportunities and mitigate potential risks.